K34 - Tax LawReturn
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Detecting Anomalies in Tax Revenues Using Benford's Law. The Case of Polish AdjustmentPiotr Luty, Zuzanna ZawolskaCentral European Business Review 2025, 14(5):41-60 | DOI: 10.18267/j.cebr.401 Changes in legal regulations are a permanent element of political systems. The degree of complexity of tax systems is a characteristic feature of developing countries. The study aims to check whether changes in legal regulations cause manipulations in companies' financial data. Manipulations may result from the ambiguity of the introduced regulations (unintentional) or the deliberate actions of taxpayers (intentional). The study analyses the impact of changes in reporting information on tax income from capital sources on anomalies in financial data. In the survey, anomalies in economic data are identified using Benford's Law, using MAD (mean absolute deviation). The research sample included Polish companies reporting income information. Based on the study results, it can be concluded that the introduction of the obligation to separately report tax from capital sources caused anomalies in the distributions of digits (2-digit test) in the group of companies affected by this change. In the case of companies not generating income from capital gains in 2018–2019, the matching of the distributions was consistent. In 2020, it was at an acceptable level with the Benford distribution. The research indicates the possibility of using Benford's Law to reveal difficulties in determining tax revenues, mainly due to changes in legal regulations. |
