C23 - Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal ModelsReturn

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Dynamic Panel Estimation of the Deaton Paradox

Adam Ruschka, Martin Janíčko, Helena Chytilová

Central European Business Review 2025, 14(1):75-104 | DOI: 10.18267/j.cebr.376

This paper estimates the presence of the Deaton paradox in Europe. Using panel data for 24 countries ranging from 2000 to 2021, we estimate the presence of excess smoothness of consumption. We use the generalised method of moments (GMM) estimator. We cluster our dataset, which lowers the data variability, and use both quarterly and monthly data to obtain robust estimates. We broaden our knowledge of the Deaton paradox in a new direction by using a combination of uncommon datasets, GMM and clustering. Our findings indicate that traditional economic theories about consumption may not be applicable. The evident excess smoothness in consumption patterns across Europe provides key insights into consumer behaviour, especially during periods of volatility and instability such as the present. Our research indirectly corroborates newer theories in behavioural economics regarding consumption and places them within a wider macroeconomic context. This has implications for both monetary and fiscal policy. 
Business and Corporate Implications for Central European audience: The provided insights into the excess smoothness of European consumption patterns are vital for business strategy, particularly in consumer-focused industries. Companies can use these findings to improve forecasting accuracy, optimize inventory and tailor marketing efforts. The relative stability of consumer behaviour, even in economic shifts, suggests opportunities for enhancing brand loyalty and customer retention. Additionally, these insights are crucial for informed investment decisions and pricing strategies in consumer-dependent sectors. Firms can also use this knowledge in policy advocacy, promoting economic decisions that reflect consumer spending trends. Aligning business strategies with these findings not only boosts operational efficiency but also contributes to their economic stability.

Effects of Broadband and Telephone Subscription on Exports in New Global Era: Evidence from Southeast European Countries

Muhamet J. Spahiu, John McArdle, Betim J. Spahiu, Esat Durguti

Central European Business Review 2024, 13(3):31-47 | DOI: 10.18267/j.cebr.351

The overall objective of the present research is to examine the influence of information technology components on the export-to-GDP ratio, especially focused on the changes caused by the events of the 20th century for Southeast European countries (SEC). The motivation for selecting these countries is to evaluate whether they have achieved a sufficient level to adapt digital developments. To overcome these challenges, the study uses a hybrid technique, employing random-effects (RE) and fixed-effects (FE) regression and Arellano-Bond estimations on panel data gathered from 13 countries from 2006 to 2021. The results confirm that fixed broadband subscriptions (FBS), gross formation capital (GFC) and official exchange rate (ORE), have a strong positive effect on the export-to-GDP ratio. Additionally, fixed telephone subscriptions (FTS), foreign direct investments (FDI) and inflation (INF) have a significant negative impact on the export-to-GDP ratio. The Arellano-Bond technique reveals that FBS, INF and ORE have a positive effect on exports, whereas FTS, GFC and FDI have a negative effect. The novelty of this research is that it uses data comparisons that are not related to a single determinant in the economy but are conditioned to advancement, especially concerning global markets and the exploitation of gaps created by changes in supply chains.
Implications for Central European audience: Depending on the research results, it is anticipated that the policy-making structures and other regulatory authorities will create a clear overview of the importance of digitization and its dynamics in the realization of exports and the mitigation of the trade deficit. These discoveries will encourage the highly empowered actors to redesign the policies that will affect the expansion and increase of the quality of the infrastructure of broadband and telephone subscriptions. By expanding and increasing the quality of the economic structure of the respective countries, they will be able to maximize the progress of the export value, which is one of the main goals of almost every country included in the analysis.

The Impact of Corporate Governance Quality on Firm Value: A Case Study on Corporate Governance Index of Borsa Istanbul

Mehmet Biçer, Ahmet Şit

Central European Business Review 2023, 12(3):1-19 | DOI: 10.18267/j.cebr.324

The main purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of corporate governance quality on the firm value of companies operating in the Borsa Istanbul (BIST) Corporate Governance Index. Analyzes were made with the data of the 51 companies operating in the BIST Corporate Governance Index for the 2015-2019 period. The GMM techniques were used as a method. AMG method was also used to consolidate the results obtained from the GMM method and to create robustness. The results indicated that the corporate governance quality of companies has positive effects on firm value. The most important finding that reflects the purpose of the research is that companies should also increase the quality of corporate governance to maximize the value of the firm.
Implications for Central European audience: Depending on the results of the study, it is predicted that companies whose profitability has a positive effect on the value of the firm will encourage their managers to increase their corporate governance quality. By complying more with the criteria in corporate governance principles, companies will both increase their institutionalism and maximize the value of the company, which is one of the main financial goals of the company.

Can Investment Incentives Cause Unemployment? An Empirical Analysis of The Relationship Between FDI and Employment Based on The OLI Framework

Tomáš Evan, Ilya Bolotov

Central European Business Review 2022, 11(3):1-16 | DOI: 10.18267/j.cebr.291

Particularly in depressed regions, politicians often use unemployment as the main argument for investment incentives provided to MNCs. This paper applies Dunning’s OLI Framework to the relationship between FDI and employment, assuming that political negotiation between MNCs and the host government might have a zero or negative effect on employment. Since the last letter of OLI, internalisation, suggests that MNCs optimise all production factors available to them and “subsidies” provided to MNCs by governments decrease the relative price of capital, MNCs may use more labour-saving techniques. Two hypotheses are tested using the dynamic panel model (DPD) and Granger causality tests for 193 countries from 1985–2019, where the first is supported with no strong relationship between the variables.
Implications for Central European audience: The paper results suggest the importance of a critical debate on the efficiency of investment incentives. This paper is among the first trying to disentangle the rather complex issue of FDI and employment on a theoretical and econometric level.

How Effective Is Tax Policy in Attracting Foreign Direct Investments in Transition Countries?

Sabina Silajdzic, Eldin Mehic

Central European Business Review 2022, 11(1):19-39 | DOI: 10.18267/j.cebr.274

Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) has been considered an important source of economic growth and technological development in transition economies. The previous empirical literature has shown that FDI promote economic growth via complementary effects on domestic investments, increases in productivity and overall economic efficiency, giving rise to an increasing interest in understanding the key determinants of FDI. Apart from traditional FDI determinants, favourable tax policy has been considered an important factor influencing MNCs’ location decisions. The goal of this paper is to investigate the impact of corporate income tax on FDI in the context of less advanced transition economies and to analyse whether the tax effect is conditional on the level of economic development. A small number of studies exist analysing the importance of tax policy regime in attracting FDI covering South-East European countries. In this study, we rely on panel gravity econometric framework and examine the impact of tax policy on FDI using bilateral FDI flows between 8 home and 8 South East Europe host countries in the period 2000–2018. We estimate the regression using Prais-Winsten correlated panels corrected standard errors PSCE method to obtain robust estimates of individual effects in the presence of heteroscedasticity and serial correlation. The seven SEE host countries included in the sample are considered of similar economic structures and institutional transformation, which seems important in analysing tax policy effectiveness and minimising biases associated with econometric modelling of FDI determinants. Finally, we study this relationship in an integrated framework considering traditional gravity forces as well as a number of additional FDI determinants, including institutional factors. We show that, although tax policy seems an important determinant of FDI, its effects seem to be conditional on the level of technological development. Given these findings, reducing corporate income tax may be considered an effective tool in promoting FDI, which seems to be of particular importance for less developed transition economies. The results are robust to different model specifications and consideration of endogeneity.
Implications for Central European audience: The direct implications of this research for business policymakers in CEE include the need to revise and optimise the levels of corporate income tax and incorporate this specific policy instrument in FDI strategies. In particular, the results of this research indicate that tax cuts have been more effective in attracting FDI in countries that are at a lower level of technological sophistication. The managers could seek to size the investment opportunity related to possible further corporate income tax cuts in the group of least developed CEE amid the economic rationale for tax policy competition among these countries.

Determinants of Chinese Foreign Direct Investment in Central and Eastern Europe

Barbora Abu Dayeh, Martin Janíčko

Central European Business Review 2021, 10(3):19-36 | DOI: 10.18267/j.cebr.254

The article deals with China’s outward direct investment (ODI) in Europe. The ODI has been on the rise and is unique in the sense that its development is much faster than in any other developing country. We investigate the determinants of Chinese ODI in ten countries of Central and Eastern Europe in the time span of 2005 and 2018. Using panel data analysis, the regression model incorporates both traditional macroeconomic variables as well as selected institutional variables, trying to test which of those work best at explaining the Chinese investment activity in the countries of interest. The quality of the institutional framework is represented by EBRD indicators, which seem to be more suitable for transition economies. Findings generally suggest that Chinese multinational enterprises do not access Central and Eastern European countries primarily for market-seeking reasons. However, the fact of being a member of the EU helps Chinese ODI since the membership is used as a sort of “backdoor” to the large European markets. Still, Chinese ODI is less likely associated with a sound institutional environment of a host country, as the opposite appears to be true. These findings, therefore, support the hypothesis that access to the single EU market and R&D spending are more important determinants of the Chinese ODI than almost any other factors.
Implications for Central European audience: The article explores the main drivers of Chinese foreign direct investment in the CEE region while it employs the most relevant theoretical framework, including several recently developed theories. The quantitative analysis then thoroughly explores the weight and sign of selected drivers using recent data and questions some of the conventionally accepted surmises about motivations of Chinese investment activity in the CEE region. This is an important topic given the ongoing debates about China’s influence in the region as well as about the intensity and general value added of its investment activity.

Innovation in Small and Medium Enterprises in the Czech Republic

Petra Koudelková

Central European Business Review 2014, 3(3):31-37 | DOI: 10.18267/j.cebr.91

The success of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) is crucial for the development of the Czech economy. Czech SMEs contribute to innovation and economic growth; they provide employment opportunities and stimulate economic growth. The aim of this research is to determine the key elements of growth and innovation in Czech SMEs. A questionnaire survey of innovation in SMEs in the Czech Republic was used; the research was held in the second quarter of 2013. The research results show that innovation has a positive impact on the growth of Czech SMEs and hence it should become a top priority for the Government strategies and policies that aim to promote economic growth and business development in the Czech Republic.